Saturday, 27 September 2025

Swiss day 3

Not a good day 2 to follow up not a good day 1. Dekker being gifted chances that the average Challenge Tour player wouldn't usually give up for a second straight day is an irritant, but whatever, we will try to at least partially rebuild on Sunday.

Humphries/Searle - 47/64/57/56
Wattimena/Woodhouse - 64/60/60/61
Clayton/Schindler - 62/61/60/61
Dobey/Dekker - 78/85/81/81
Bunting/Ratajski - 81/68/62/70
van Barneveld/Edhouse - 55/53/49/52
Joyce/van Veen - 27/28/32/29
Cross/Noppert - 73/65/55/64

Seems like the session may start an hour earlier than normal so be on your toes people.

Edit - will just append on quarter final predictions. Expect no semi predictions.

Searle/Woodhouse - 64/60/62/62
Clayton/Dekker - 80/85/80/82
Bunting/van Barneveld - 85/77/74/79
van Veen/Cross - 42/44/53/46

Friday, 26 September 2025

Swiss day 2

Day of ups and downs. Mostly downs - in a big hole early, Pietreczko and Suljovic got me partially out of it, pick out some OK spots, Veenstra somehow gets there, but Nijman loses to Edhouse. What can we do. Still, it could be worse. Let's go into day 2 projections. Most recent form first, composite last.

Searle/Zonneveld - 62/58/60/60
Chisnall/Woodhouse - 58/57/53/56
Wright/Dekker - 55/72/74/67
de Decker/Ratajski - 60/52/54/55
Cross/Veenstra - 77/80/69/75
van Veen/van Duijvenbode - 54/49/49/51
Noppert/O'Connor - 51/54/56/54

Wade/Joyce - 71/60/57/63
Schindler/Pietreczko - 66/64/62/64
Rock/Wattimena - 71/70/65/69
Humphries/Rydz - 53/71/62/62
Clayton/Aspinall - 57/68/62/62
Heta/van Barneveld - 73/68/69/70
Bunting/Landman - 84/80/75/80
Dobey/Suljovic - 61/70/69/67

I suppose the interesting ones are Wright, where Dekker looks to be in shit hot form relatively speaking (although today maybe not so much), and Rydz keeping things close on the near sample vs Humphries. Might just be an adjust sizing thing, but they are notable.

Thursday, 25 September 2025

Swiss stuff

Alrighty, we're back into Euro Tour territory, the quali is done and it is Bellmont plus randoms so I guess we're going to have a few games where there's no predictions, I will pass them completely if that is the case. As is usually the case, shortest sample first, composite (i.e. the one to use) sample last.

Scutt/Rydz - 37/51/59/49
No data on Smolik
Ratajski/Bates - 57/59/61/59
Gilding/Dekker - 72/72/72/72
No data on Fulciniti
Woodhouse/Wenig - 59/59/60/59
Pietreczko/Lukasiak - 79/79/79/79
Suljovic/Lukeman - 79/62/57/66

No data on Schnetzer
Nijman/Edhouse - 80/71/72/74
No data on Sood
Veenstra/Springer - 48/32/35/38
Wattimena/Bellmont - 90/81 (insufficient short data on Bellmont)
van Duijvenbode/van der Wal - 92/91/87/90
Gurney/O'Connor - 58/50/47/52
No data on Jorgensen

Wednesday, 24 September 2025

Second/Third Division Darts 2025 tables

This gets later every year I know

D2:

Gary Anderson 13.70
Jonny Clayton 10.80
Ross Smith 9.72
Damon Heta 9.11
James Wade 8.71
Callan Rydz 8.56
Dave Chisnall 7.86
Mike de Decker 7.55
Danny Noppert 7.33
Ryan Searle 6.66

D3:

Gian van Veen 10.55
Josh Rock 10.59
Niko Springer 9.51
Connor Scutt 9.39
Niels Zonneveld 9.33
Wessel Nijman 9.31
Martin Schindler 9.12
Berry van Peer 7.68
Keane Barry 7.44
Kevin Doets 7.06

Results:

PC1: Smith 6-1 Wade (2), Rock 6-5 Scutt (3), Nijman 6-1 Doets (3)
PC2: Smith 6-4 Noppert (2), Heta 6-3 Searle (2), Snuth 6-2 Chisnall (2), Schindler 6-2 Doets (3), Nijman 6-5 Springer (3)
PC3: Rydz 6-1 Wade (2), Rydz 6-5 Smith (2), Wade 6-2 Heta (2)
PC4: Wade 6-3 Rydz (2), Schindler 6-2 Barry (3), Nijman 6-2 Doets (3)
PC5: Anderson 6-0 Searle (2), Zonneveld 6-2 Barry (3), Doets 6-3 Schindler (3)
PC6: Barry 6-5 Nijman (3), van Veen 6-5 Scutt (3)
PC7: Anderson 7-3 de Decker (2)
PC8: Schindler 6-5 Doets (3), Zonneveld 6-2 Rock (3)
PC9: Wade 6-3 Clayton (2), van Veen 6-5 Scutt (3), Zonneveld 6-5 van Veen (3)
PC10: Anderson 6-1 Wade (2), Doets 6-4 van Peer (3), Rock 6-1 Schindler (3)
PC11: Anderson 6-4 Wade (2), Anderson 6-2 Heta (2), van Peer 6-4 Doets (3)
PC12: Clayton 6-2 Smith (2), Rock 7-4 van Veen (3)
PC13: van Veen 6-3 Zonneveld (3), Rock 6-2 Doets (3), Rock 6-4 Scutt (3)
PC14: Clayton 7-3 Noppert (2), Clayton 6-0 Wade (2), Noppert 6-4 Rydz (2), Schindler 6-5 Doets (3)
PC15: Chisnall 7-6 Noppert (2), Noppert 6-5 Rydz (2), Chisnall 6-2 de Decker (2), van Veen 6-0 Zonneveld (3)
PC16: Noppert 6-5 Searle (2), Smith 6-0 Noppert (2)
PC17: Nijman 6-4 Doets (3)
PC18: de Decker 6-0 Smith (2), de Decker 6-1 Noppert (2), Zonneveld 6-5 Schindler (3)
PC19: Rydz 6-4 Searle (2)
PC20: Barry 6-1 Nijman (3), Rock 6-3 Barry (3), van Veen 6-1 Springer (3)
PC21: No games
PC22: Scutt 6-5 Schindler (3)
PC23: No games
PC24: Smith 6-2 Rydz (2)
PC25: Schindler 6-3 van Veen (3)
PC26: Anderson 6-5 Noppert (2), Anderson 6-4 Rydz (2), Barry 6-2 Zonneveld (3), Nijman 6-3 Barry (3)
PC27: No games

ET1: Wade 6-4 Clayton (2), de Decker 7-6 Smith (2)
ET2: van Veen 6-4 Scutt (3), van Veen 6-4 Rock (3), Smith 6-2 Wade (2), Smith 6-4 Chisnall (2), Anderson 6-5 Snuth (2)
ET3: Rock 6-4 van Veen (3)
ET4: Smith 6-2 Chisnall (2), van Veen 6-4 Schindler (3), 
ET5: Doets 6-3 van Peer (3), Schindler 6-5 Doets (3), Schindler 7-6 Rock (3)
ET6: Snuth 6-3 Chisnall (2), Schindler 6-4 Rock (3)
ET7: Clayton 6-5 Smith (2), Noppert 6-5 Heta (2), Clayton 6-4 Noppert (2), Nijman 6-5 van Peer (3), Springer 6-2 Schindler (3), Springer 7-3 Nijman (3)
ET8: Clayton 6-0 de Decker (2), Heta 7-3 Clayton (2)
ET9: Noppert 6-3 de Decker (2), Anderson 7-1 Wade (2), Anderson 6-1 Clayton (2), Schindler 6-4 Springer (3)
ET10: van Veen 6-3 Schindler (3)
ET11: Wade 6-4 Smith (2), Searle 6-4 Chisnall (2), Rock 7-3 van Veen (3)
ET12: Springer 6-3 van Veen (3), Springer 7-6 Rock (3)

Masters: Heta 6-4 Smith (2), Wade 7-4 de Decker (2), Clayton 10-8 Searle (2), van Veen 5-4 Nijman (3)
UK Open: Clayton 10-3 Anderson (2), Scutt 6-3 van Peer (3)
Matchplay: de Decker 10-7 Chisnall (2), Clayton 11-8 de Decker (2), Wade 20-18 Clayton (2)

Monday, 22 September 2025

Budapest done

Well that's another tournament done, and another new Euro Tour winner, it's one we thought would get one at some point but maybe not that quickly, and the Niko Springer value train is now well and truly derailed. Huge result for him obviously, but first we're due an FRH rankings update:

1 Luke Littler
2 Luke Humphries
3 Michael van Gerwen
4 James Wade
5 Stephen Bunting (UP 1)
6 Jonny Clayton (DOWN 1)
7 Josh Rock
8 Gerwyn Price (UP 1)
9 Chris Dobey (DOWN 1)
10 Ross Smith (UP 1)
11 Danny Noppert (UP 2)
12 Damon Heta (DOWN 2)
13 Gian van Veen (UP 3)
14 Martin Schindler (UP 1)
15 Mike de Decker (DOWN 1)
16 Gary Anderson (DOWN 4)
17 Dave Chisnall
18 Jermaine Wattimena (UP 2)
19 Nathan Aspinall
20 Rob Cross (DOWN 2)

Sprubger leaps into thetop 50 with his bink, and actually moves one spot ahead of Clemens for the German number 3 spot. Bridging the gap to the top 2 is going to take some time - Pietreczko has more or less double Springer's ranking points, and Schindler is further ahead still, but there's time.


Saturday, 20 September 2025

Budapest day 2

This is going to be very much an updated in running once I have entered data sort of thing with projections and nothing else. Be warned.

Scbjndler/Joyce - 67/62/55/61
Smith/Menzies - 75/72/68/72
Noppert/Owen - 64/70/73/69
Dobey/Beveridge - 72/79/76/76
Cross/Gurney - 68/70/65/68
Wade/Woodhouse - 68/58/57/61
Wright/Huybrechts - 55/60/67/61
Chisnall/Barney - 65/61/61/62
Heta/Springer - 65/54/54/58
Price/Veenstra - 73/81/77/77/
van Gerwen/Dennant - 71/78/76/75
Littler/Cullen - 82/78/82/81
Humphries/Aspinall - 37/72/65/58
Bunting/Tricole - 85/84/82/84
Rock/Pietreczko - 85/80/77/81
de Decker/Bissell - 60/73/73/69

1345 UK update - all projections now done. That Aspinall short term sample is, shall we say, interesting, but Luke's not played a huge amount of darts these past few months and does have a negative consistency score over that spell (i.e. his losing legs are scoring better than his winning ones) so maybe don't go ham on Nathan too much.

Thursday, 18 September 2025

Few thoughts and Hungary round one

So I didn't get anything up past day one in Prague. If you caught me on social media you'll know I've not been great, but I think I'm on the mend now, have at least caught up with PC26/27 in the database and will be good for projections shortly.

First, World Series finals. Didn't watch a minute of it. Good for MvG to be "back" (hint - he never went away, field just got more fierce), but this has surely run its course. If the PDC want to continue to run effective exbos around the world, here's what I'd do - call them exactly that. Market it as something like PDC Live! and have each event be stand alone. This would probably make it easier to work in different players, as there's no season end tour that regulars want a free pass to. You might cry "but TV", well fuck them, half the time they didn't show these live anyway. Straight to PDC.TV.

Then, for that finals weekend, rebrand that as PDC vs The World. Pick out sixteen players that have been impressive in PDC Live, regional tours etc, and invite them over. The PDC players would be upcoming talent - we don't need the big guns for every event. I'm talking the likes of Springer, Brooks, Greaves next year, Doets, Zonneveld, Scutt, Taylor etc. Nijman/Menzies might be an upper bound. Rock, van Veen etc already too good. Friday night becomes an exbo. A blind draw pairs with each pair being one PDC/one world player would be fun, probably need to be bo5 to get it done, but that would be a huge laugh. Saturday is sixteen games with PDC against the world, the Sunday is the world against each other, played to Euro Tour Sunday format, but the kicker is the winner gets a tour card as well as the prize money. In terms of that, everyone gets, say, £2.5k - PDC players as showing up money, world players as round one losers money on the Sunday. On top of that, the Saturday games each have five grand riding on them. PDC player wins - it's theirs. World player wins - it increases the overall Sunday prize pot by five grand (500 to semis onwards 250 to R1/QF losers adds up I think), which I think would create a great "team" dynamic.

Next, we've all seen great darts tat over the years. I miss the days of Darts Corner desperately trying to sell unsold stock of Mark Dudbridge posters, I miss the Humphries/Littler half and half scarves, we've all got Snakebite practice rings or other gimmicky stuff. What else could make any pub, practice room, man cave or elsewhere complete? I have seen the future, and if anyone steals the idea, I want 20% or I'll see you in court. It is:

Your very own Werner Rankings Ladder (tm)!

We (at least those of a certain age in the UK at least) all remember those special pre season editions of Shoot, Match etc where they would have a pull out poster with each of the English divisions, and probably the Scottish Premier as well, with each spot having a little slot which you could slot in a little shirt for each team in the league given their respective position. Come to think of it, for our foreign readers I'm sure the Kicker Sonderheft still does these. Well, we do the same for darts. Have an A1/A2 size poster (struggling to think which might be best, I'm guessing nearer A1 than A2 but I think it's somewhere in the middle) with four 16-rung ladders on it, and have a whole bag full of darts players mugshots that you can then slot in as they move up and down the rankings. Have a couple of blank ones you can fill in should someone do a Ratajski, Williams (or Littler for that matter) rise from off the tour. Best drawing of the player in question that tags in Werner of the year wins an actual ladder. How would this not be an instant best seller?

Anyway, enough bollocks, we have a Euro Tour to look at. Will go short-medium-full-composite data as usual with the numbers for the "seeded" player.

Gilding/Dennant - 75/66/64/68
Menzies/Pres - insufficient data on Pres
Joyce/Edhouse - 59/56/56/57
Pietreczko/Williams - 67/49/58 (insufficient short data on Williams)
Huybrechts/Hyllgaardhus - insufficent data on Hyllgaardhus
Woodhouse/Borbely - insufficient data on Borbely
Nijman/Beveridge - 71/74/76/74
van Duijvenbode/Bissell - 69/81/78/76
Wattimena/Tricole - 71/74/74/73
Searle/Owen - 76/73/74/74
Gurney/Weber - 82/70/71/74
van Barneveld/Major - no data on Major
Veenstra/Crabtree - 47/44/47/46
Cullen/Wenig - 64/62/61/62
van Veen/Springer - 70/60/59/63
Aspinall/Sarai - no data on Sarai

So that's your picks. Only a small number of games that look moderately close, but that's what the PDC want so we will bow to their superior wisdom.

Thursday, 4 September 2025

Prague day one

Health has been a rollercoaster this week, and if there was a specific one it would be Oblivion, but I have just now got all the data from Antwerp into the database, just about in time for another round of Euro Tour madness. Looking at the data, Pratnemer, Unger, Filip and Brejcha have insufficient data for any sort of projection, but everyone else is cool for overall numbers. So let's go.

Gilding - 76
Menzies - 62
Wattimena - 68
Joyce - 49
Woodhouse - 48
Nijman - 72
van Duijvenbode - 82
Gurney - 58
van Veen - 72
van Barneveld - 41
de Decker - 67
Cullen - 47

There you have it, nothing seems crazy at a first glance, let's go with it.