Sindelfingen round 2

Wow, that was looking like it was going to be an extremely strong session for a while there. That afternoon session was close to perfect - yes, Bradley Brooks missed a lot of doubles, but that one was a bit of a flier anyway and only for a small punt as the large bets on van Veen, Scutt and Woodhouse piled in, and Leon Weber got us a good chunk given the price he was at. Then in the afternoon, if anything Searle was worse on doubles, Ratajski wasn't quite as bad but certainly wasn't brilliant and should clearly have been at worst 5-4 up rather than losing 6-3, Rydz dropping the game is neither here nor there as again that was just a small punt, upshot is we're right back where we started. Oh well. Frustrating, but it is what it is. On to Saturday, let's see what we have.

Danny Noppert v Wessel Nijman - 48/52

Damon Heta v Martin Lukeman - 68/32

Michael Smith v Daniel Klose - 75/25 (again long data only on Klose)

Gary Anderson v Gian van Veen - 54/46 (shorter data favours GvV a tad more)

Chris Dobey v Luke Woodhouse - 68/32

Nathan Aspinall v Niels Zonneveld - 53/47

Rob Cross v Mike De Decker - 56/44

Dave Chisnall v Ross Smith - 33/67 (newer data HATES Chisnall)

James Wade v Joe Cullen 48/52 (shorter data likes Cullen a lot more)

Jonny Clayton v Andrew Gilding - 59/41

Gerwyn Price v Raymond van Barneveld - 77/23

Peter Wright v Leon Weber - 72/28

Michael van Gerwen v Dirk van Duijvenbode - 50/50

Luke Humphries v Connor Scutt - 56/44

Josh Rock v Martin Schindler - 63/37

Stephen Bunting v Cameron Menzies - 62/38 (recent data favours Bunting a bit more)

I've listed where there's more than marginal changes in the sample size, as I know some people may favour form a lot more than larger samples. Form is baked into these numbers somewhat - these take an average of the numbers from current month plus last three months, plus last six months, then a twelve month sample - so a great leg thrown yesterday will effectively count three times, whereas something thrown last September only counts once. I think I have listed this methodology before, but if not, this is what I am meaning when I say short, medium or long data, I generally want 50 won legs before I'll include something. I'll be placing my bets in the morning, but don't expect anything before Sunday morning for the third round, on a long football trip to South Wales tomorrow.