Monday 2 January 2023

No bet on the final

Projection has shifted by maybe a percentage point towards MvG, so with Smith typically being priced at 5/2 or shorter by most conventional bookmakers, that's not long enough for what is now about a 35% chance from year long data for Smith to bink. Which, frankly with MvG in the form he's in, is probably an underestimate. Happy to sit this one out and just spectate, betting against van Gerwen the way he's playing right now seems suicidal regardless of price so I'm not going to do it.

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