Saturday 31 August 2024

Round 2 punts

There's not a lot there, but we'll go with these three for small plays:

0.1u Burton 23/10, Betfred offering the first two lines, this is needing less than one in three to work, so even if a projection of just into the 40% range is a few points too high for whatever reason, it's still good

0.1u Wade 2/1, here we've got about the same percentage projection. James is playing well and saying he only wins one in three seems a decent underestimate 

0.1u Whitlock evs, frankly I could go larger here, but with Simon struggling with inconsistency and getting results, I can get behind a bit of caution. That said, Pietreczko hasn't been ripping things up either...

Only other one that seems close is Chisnall, 4/6 looks a good price, Taylor's good enough that Dave should not win this two out of three times, but he's safely over 60%.

Edit - Reduced the Whitlock price to evens as I could only see 11/10 on the spread firms

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