Friday, 2 January 2026

Final thoughts

Well, the semis kind of went how we thought, Littler winning super comfortably, then Gary was probably not as big a dog as the market thought, and but for some critical missed doubles, we might have been at 5-5, but we weren't, so oh well. As such, we go into a final where the projection is as follows:

72/84/80/79

This puts Littler at a near 4-1 on favourite. He is nowhere near a 4-1 on favourite in the market. This is EXACTLY what we saw last year against MvG. GvV is one of the few players that might be able to pressure Luke, but over this sort of game, it is just not happening anywhere near as often as the market thinks it will happen. Which is a shame, as I want Gian to win the match, but even in the form sample, Luke would be a bet. So we will bet the favourite, and expect to collect in 24 hours from now.

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