1039 - Part of the problem for round one is that we have little data for many of the games. Here's what we have in terms of full year sample size for each match, with the lower sample (in legs played) listed:
Gillet 34, Greaves 194, Dekker 220, Crabtree 416, Tingstrom 76, Fox 0, Hartrey 0, Rowley 9, Dewsbury 0, Kelling 0, Coates 73, Stevenson 0, Olde Kalter 84, Wickenden 9, Lovely 154, Bissell 72, Lishman 63, Perry 58, Czerwinski 68, Paxton 87, Dudeney 146, Henderson 314, Gruellich 167, Coulson 0, Weber 88, Morris 0, Kanik 87, Henderyck 150, Baker 0, Sykes 30, Manby 62, Ljubic 52
1044 - And due to the lack of markets on the exchange, the only thing I have in round 1 is taking the generous line on Beau Greaves.
1059 - In known matches for rounds 2/3, I'm taking Beveridge, Nijman and Hempel just, Williams (Jim) with a bit more confidence, and Reus is probably the best play I can see so far. Greaves looks a better play than all of these though.
1116 - Merkx the first man through with a decent average that might be a bit deceptive. God knows what's up with van Dongen.
1123 - Dragt/Hall the first new game up, feels like Graham's a bit over 40% for that one.
1127 - Pilgrim through, not great, but through. van der Wal seems like pretty much a flip in round two.
1128 - Jesus christ that's not bad from Springer.
1143 - Rowley over Sedlacek, especially by that margin, is probably the first big shock of the day.
1150 - Of matches we now know, Springer's probably between two in three and three in four against Geeraets, Crabtree is surprisingly a bit more than 60% against Baetens, Dennant's just more than two in three against Boulton, although boosted by very good relative recent form, and Landman's just got a small edge over Kist.
1202 - van der Velde and Lipscombe come through, but both look to be around a one in three underdog shot in their second round games, although Adam's sample is a bit small to be fair.
1210 - Girvan looked pretty good in winning against Wickenden, against Merkx it should be a game of two players with a good first round match up.
1219 - Couple of close second round games now known. Have Harryston as a tiny favourite over Gruellich, and Kuivenhoven as an even tinier favourite over Hunt.
1227 - Results piling in now. Have Kirk and Bialecki at just under 40% in their games, while Rusty looks pretty strong against Graham Usher.
1252 - Just about done with round one. Have had a small investment on Grundy against Bialecki, do not think he should be the underdog in that one.
1309 - Springer into round three. Have him as a tiny favourite against Slevin.
1316 - Wenig just sneaks through, might be more of an underdog against Huybrechts than he really should be. I've got him just a tiny dog, factor in the most recent form, which is clearly volatile, and he may even be a tiny favourite.
1320 - Pilgrim eases through. Think he should be a bit better than 60/40 against Lauby, but always hard to know whether having two wins in the bank, or being more rested through the unusual situation of having a bye is more important.
1331 - Dom Taylor squeaks through, his next game with Menzies is a banger and he should be a small favourite in that one.
1347 - Little bit of a lull in the action as we're about midway through the second round.
1356 - Bialecki's scraped through again, but against Woodhouse he should be a pretty big dog, hard to see him winning much more than one in four there.
1402 - One match that's going to be razor thin in round three is Martijn Dragt against Willie Borland. Very hard to pick a winner in that one. Beau Greaves is through to play Mickey Mansell as well.
1406 - Jurjen van der Velde's got a nice potential redemption story going, with back to back 6-2 wins to get through to Keane Barry. Think Keane's a bit more than 60/40 there.
1411 - Another player coming through is Mario Vandenbogaerde, scraping past Darius Labanauskas in a decider. It's another one where the player straight to round three, Richard Veenstra, is a tad more than 60/40 to get into the big pot.
1420 - We're almost closed up with round two, round three games already under way on two outside boards. Kist got a good win in round 2 and should be about 60/40 against Haupai Puha, while Crabtree sailed past Andy Baetens and ought to be a 2-1 favourite against Szaganski in the third round.
1424 - Impressive win for Justin Hood over Shaun Fox, and should be about 60/40 against Darren Beveridge to make the evening.
1429 - Players starting to advance through to round three, Jermaine Wattimena looking very solid against Florian Hempel, Nick Kenny (and Adam Hunt obv) joining him.
1438 - Good comeback from Jimmy van Schie to get through to Jose de Sousa, which feels around 60/40, while Nathan Rafferty is going to have a tough task against Suljovic, Mensur probably being a tad better than 70/30.
1441 - Disappointing collapse from Jim Williams, at 5-2 up you'd reasonably expect to win that bet, but I guess not.
1453 - Don't think we're going to have any more bets in the afternoon session. Will just keep an eye out for what's happening and note on anything that's worth mentioning.
1506 - God damnit Wessel.
1514 - Whoa, big comeback from Menzies, Taylor'll be kicking himself.
1559 - How many big comebacks have we had? Girvan's got to be kicking himself but fair play to Campbell for sticking around and getting it done.
1629 - Damn, 170 from Puha to win it, nice. That's round three done.
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