Joyce/Borbely - Always tough to gauge these qualifiers. Borbely came through way back in early February and let's just say he didn't look good.
Edhouse/Mansell - Real nice game second up. Ritchie's better, but not by much (maybe 52/48), and Mickey's trending better in 2025, but again, not by much.
Razma/Grundy - Looks like pretty much the archetypal 70/30 game in favour of Madars, regardless of sample. Odd, Grundy hasn't looked awful and I don't think Razma has been spectacular, but numbers are numbers.
Woodhouse/Crabtree - This is becoming a nice opening session, and one that might be deceptively close, I've naturally got Woodhouse better, and the 2025 stats are the best, but this is only 58/42 and he's not actually significantly better than this this season. Crabtree can play.
Gurney/Zonneveld - Session becoming more stacked. Zonneveld might actually be a small (53/47) favourite here, he's quietly been getting a lot of good performances and results and could very easily catch Gurney off guard here.
Nijman/Williams - Jesus, this session is excellent, although this one might not be one of the better ones, with Wessel playing so well he projects better than three in four, just getting up to 76/24, with the best numbers being the most recent numbers.
Huybrechts/Behrens - OK, they've got to chuck in the odd dud, Finn being a qualifier who didn't break beyond the low 80's and is pretty much unknown. Kim's not really done much of anything for quite some time, but shouldn't need to do much of anything to get the dub in this one here.
Menzies/Doets - How this one isn't in the evening session is beyond me, this might be the best opening stanza on the Euro Tour of all time. Doets has been a bit up and down and hard to gauge, but I've got Cammy up 64/36 here, which doesn't seem unreasonable particularly given his form to start the season.
Pietreczko/Paxton - Into the evening session and we've got a Euro Tour debut for Adam, to the best of my knowledge, not got a huge deal on him but it's averaging at 70/30 in favour of Pikachu, which feels like it should be about right.
van Veen/Eidams - Rene's been around for a while and we typically know what we're going to get, there's the odd flash but that's pretty much it, and there's not been big evidence of it at least in the qual, and against Gian it might not matter regardless.
Suljovic/Ratajski - It is a little bit weird that these are listed this way round but that is the way the PDC wants to work, pretty easy to call this one in favour of Krzysztof at just over a two in three clip (68/32), Mensur's done it all but Ratajski is continuing to play at a clearly superior level.
van Barneveld/Rosenauer - Michael has probably been around as long as Barney has. He got aided to an 88 average in the quali one time by Roetzsch but is showing nothing to make us think RvB is in any trouble at all.
Wattimena/Unterbuchner - We get to the last of the HNQs and probably the best of this pick, Michael hitting 95 in the final round and a couple of relatively unassisted games at or just above the 90 mark. We know he's dangerous, but such is the draw rigging that you're getting a tough opponent just way too often, and Jermaine's definitely one of those.
van Duijvenbode/Boulton - Dirk's showed a bit more form of late and looked alright midweek, and is projecting as a surprisingly massive favourite here, up at 84/16 which does surprise me as Andy's a pretty solid pro.
Schindler/Vandenbogaerde - Mario's a name that has popped up a few times this year and this feels like this might be a redo from somewhere, maybe even a Euro Tour we've already done, and this one comes up in Martin's favour as you would expect, the raw numbers of 71/29 feel like they may be selling the Belgian a bit short but the best sample is in 2025 so meh.
de Decker/Engstrom - Mike finishes the session off against Engstrom, the Nordic qualifier who we have probably enough data on for the 85/15 projection in favour of de Decker to likely be accurate enough to go with.
That's your lot, back for round two when we get there.
No comments:
Post a Comment