Graz

So today I learned there was a new rule for the HNQ's in that a card holder can apparently opt to go for one home nation qualifier over the course of the year as opposed to the tour card holder qualifier. Hence why Suljovic got in. This clearly seems like a reaction to the Czech event last year where I believe both Sedlacek and Gawlas didn't get in and the home contingent was not marketable, clearly this is just a bit of a marketing gimmick in the newer areas as for Germany/Netherlands this seems irrelevant as the card holder qualifier seems possibly easier, but hey, it's a new thing. The upshot is we've got Mensur, Rowby, Zoran and Goedl all in, so all known quantities, let's quickly scan through round 1 and just give probabilities, I have the NFL draft in less than two hours so I'll try to be brief:

Geeraets/Campbell - 48/52

Ratajski/Mansell - 67/33

Razma/White - 62/38

Gilding/Landman  62/38

Tricole/Goedl - no data

Joyce/Harju - not sufficient data on Harju to be confident

Pietreczko/Bissell - 60/40

Dennant/Rowby - 65/35 (no short data on Rowby)

Wenig/Springer - 36/64

van Duijvenbode/Jehirszki - no data

Nijman/O'Connor - 60/40

van Barneveld/Sedlacek - 50/50

Edhouse/Suljovic - 52/48

Doets/van Peer - 51/49

Wattimena/Lerchbacher - no data

Woodhouse/Rafferty - 78/22

Where I'm saying there's no data, there might be a handful of legs, but we're dealing in one or two matches so it is nowhere near representative. Hence what I post on the Rowby game, we have basically nothing this season. The Harju game I could probably put something up, but it would fall into sample size issues pretty quickly and I feel it'd just say lump Joyce regardless and as he's going to be big odds on, I'll just leave it alone.