Wow is all I can say about that one. Wouldn't call it the worst day ever, but it might be top five, with two large bets running into a 107 average and 6/6 on doubles and then a 106 average and over 50% on doubles as well. Brooks didn't help, I did sense check that when the numbers said he should be favoured, and it's right, there is a little bit of a consistency issue but it's never going to be enough to swing something to not be a bet. We did at least downsize so that's a start, nicking that one would probably have turned the day into break even. Eight games, let's go:
Wade/Campbell - 57/43
Heta/Harrysson - 78/22
Menzies/Edhouse - 58/42
Clayton/de Decker - 56/44
Aspinall/Pietreczko - 53/47
Dobey/Gilding - 66/34
Wright/Nijman - 45/55
Bunting/Gurney - 65/35
As such, it looks like continuing to lay Aspinall, Gurney and Harrysson will be the plays for me, although I'm cutting the bet sizing on account of at least some of these playing well, and obvious bankroll things, also Campbell may be a tad undervalued. Let's see what happens.
No comments:
Post a Comment