Any semis value? Maybe

Looking at the 365 lines, they've got both Lukes priced in at 1/4, which is an 80% chance of winning. That seems a tad excessive. Noppert and Clayton are not bad players at all. I've got both of these games at nearer the 70/30 marker - Humphries a touch above 70%, Littler a touch below, maybe in a realistic world Clayton could be priced a bit shorter by default but the pricing is such to account for the Littler hype/public backing, which is not unreasonable. So would I be betting on a Luke/Luke final? It seems by far the most likely outcome, I think it happens clearly more than half the time, but I certainly wouldn't be wanting to bet on either of them to win their respective matches. Would I want to bet on either of Clayton or Noppert to pull the upset? This is a more pertinent question, and I think the choice of the two would clearly be Clayton, but I'm not sure that you'll actually get the odds to offer sufficient safety in what you're doing to actually be profitable.

FWIW in a theoretical all Luke final, I'd put Littler at around a 2-1 favourite, although the numbers are all over the place. Mid sample appears 50/50, so you can only guess what Littler is doing in the other samples to make it balance at that overall projection.