Sunday, 26 July 2026

Matchplay final

Didn't say much about the semis, mainly because the data would likely be unreliable, also mainly because I didn't have the time to get everything into the database on the Friday night, but I doubt anything of value was lost. Anyway, we've got a Littler/Price final, which is one of the closer things we could get to not being fucking awful like the Littler semi was, and Littler's now actually played enough legs since April to get a stat. And he rates over that period to win 100% of the time. Well, 99.77%. But that's close enough. The since January mid range data is nearer 81% than 80% and the full data set gives us 78% for Littler, so if we chuck out that short data as being unreliable, that's putting Luke at around a 4-1 favourite level. Am I going to take Price at longer than 8 on the exchange? Hell no. Anyway, that'll do it for this event, there's been a gold WDF event down under that I need to shove into the database, before we all rush off to Germany for a couple of Pro Tours. And when I say all, I mean the 112 card holders that could be arsed with it.

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