Sunday, 15 March 2026

ET2 quarters

Small profit round three. Takes me back up to exactly where we were prior to the UK Open. Let's have a quick look at the quarters, quick change of plan from what I said but it is what it is:

Veenstra/Zonneveld - 42/39/37/39
Rock/Nijman - 43/49/58/50
Springer/Heta - 37/40/42/40
Price/van Duijvenbode - 75/66/57/66

So matches 1 and 3 look to be pretty consistent throughout all samples, Rock is doing substantially worse in more recent samples than he was doing over a longer period (which if you've watched any of the Premier League, you can have a good guess at anyway), while van Duijvenbode is showing the same thing, but even more exaggerated - part of that I think is Price sunrunning (since December he's second in the world in scoring only to Littler, Dirk's actually top ten but with a really tiny consistency number meaning that the projection is favouring Price maybe a little too much) but it does feel like Dirk was doing comparatively better in the middle of 2025 compared to now. I won't get round to a semi projection, but it feels like quarters 2 and 4 are a lot stronger than the other two.

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