Friday 27 September 2024

Quick day 1 bets

Sedlacek/Williams - close on Karel but no
Woodhouse/Nijman - line seems accurate
Ratajski/Stoeckli - Krzysztof probably safe but silly odds on line
de Decker/Hall - line is fine
Razma/Fehlmann - 0.5u Razma 2/9, Alex didn't impress me, Madars is playing well this week
Gilding/Prez - half tempted to do the same but Andrew is less convincing
Hertig/Meikle - same, Ryan too inconsistent to be really sure this is value
Rydz/Dolan - don't think there's quite enough there for a form based Callan punt, which is something that seems dangerous in and of itself
Edhouse/Wattimena - possible small Jermaine value if you don't believe that Ritchie outperforms his numbers, which we see moderately often
Ostlund/van Duijvenbode - think this is close, some places offering 1/4, Dirk is close enough to back, Ostlund isn't convincing but did get through a much harder qualifier than the domestic lads so will give some benefit of the doubt
van den Bergh/Wade - looks close enough to correct for me
Cullen/van Barneveld - maybe Barney's fractionally overvalued but it's neither here nor there
Menzies/Clayton - Cameron slightly favoured in the market. Doesn't seem wrong to me
Wright/Veenstra - Peter not being available at even 1/2 might be a bit too much of a hype train, but Veenstra hasn't really shown quite enough to make 7/4 that enticing
Walpen/Aspinall - 9/1 for someone who has played on this stage at all might actually be enough if you combine him actually winning legitimately and Nathan having a flare up and playing awfully
White/Smith - line might be slightly harsh on White. But only slightly.

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