Friday 11 November 2022

Slam day 1 - any picks we like?

Likely going small on most given that there is quite some variance and a lack of data on several players.

0.1u Edhouse 21/10 vs Cullen, Ritchie is not a bad player and the underlying stats in a short race suggest, even accounting for the seeming fact that my model under appreciates Cullen, that he is significantly better than a 40% shot to take this one. With north of 2/1 available in a couple of reputable places and 2/1 on the nose generally available, I'll take the stab here.

And that is literally it. There's enough data on most of the players, and everything is within relevant tolerances, so no bets beyond Ritchie. Go on lad.

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