Sunday, 28 April 2019

ET4 quarter final bets

Can't complain about the Barney result, all you hope for when taking that sort of bet is that your guy keeps it close, which he did, just a pity that he couldn't hold in the decider really.

We're down to Price/Cross, Lewis/White, Chisnall/Suljovic and Aspniall/van Gerwen, a high standard of players left, but who's going to come through?

Price/Cross - Price was solid against Hughes, who sadly missed a bunch of doubles, while Cross had little problem with Joe Cullen, Cross having enough time to spare to miss a bunch of doubles before coming through. Price is listed as a 40/60 dog, more or less, I've not got him as quite so big a dog, but I don't think it's quite enough to take the punt.

Lewis/White - Adie was able to get a quick lead against John Henderson with a sloppy start to the match, then held out from there. White raced to a 5-0 lead, Webster not really being able to get into a position to mount any sort of comeback. The bookies have this close to even, but I think White's just about that much better to go 0.25u White 11/10, Lewis didn't claim a single leg in 15 darts against Henderson, he'll need to improve, and while he can, it's a big ask.

Chisnall/Suljovic - Dave raced into a 5-0 lead against Wright, and was close to a sweep, but finished it off 6-1. Mensur shared the first six legs with Daryl Gurney, but slotted in three 15 dart or better legs to finish it off from there. Suljovic is a tiny favourite, similar to Lewis, and I've got it the other way, also like Lewis, but not to quite the same extent so I'm not betting this one.

van Gerwen/Aspinall - Nathan got an early lead against Wade, and eventually won 6-2, closing out the match with a ten darter, while van Gerwen's game we've mentioned above. This is another game where the underdog is not as large as the market suggests, 7/2 when I'm seeing Nathan as more than 35% to take it is worth it, 0.1u Aspinall 7/2, MvG has looked a bit vulnerable after all.

No comments:

Post a comment