Monday, 8 October 2018

More on Durrant

A brief one - rather than speculate looking at things like points per turn, why not shove Durrant into the master computer against the PDC top 16? Why not indeed, so here's the winning chances over a race to 10, coincidentally the length of a first knockout round game in the Slam, so in increasing order of ranking, here's everyone:

Lewis - 69.89%
Cullen - 75.94%
van Barneveld - 75.68%
Webster - 74.73%
Wade - 72.63%
Price - 66.33%
White - 55.54%
Smith - 51.31%
Chisnall - 57.33%
Whitlock - 71.67%
Suljovic - 64.77%
Gurney - 64.34%
Anderson - 48.18%
Cross - 51.77%
Wright - 55.24%
van Gerwen - 29.90%

I think those figures should speak for themselves. But lest anyone say "but FRH, these just look at winning legs, it's not fair", Durrant is scoring just 2.48 points per turn less on losing legs than winning legs. In comparison, Cross is at 2.51, Anderson 2.32, van Gerwen 5.04 (although that one's just because he's really ****ing good and wins all the time), Smith 4.92, Wright 4.43, Suljovic 0.38, Gurney 5.91. So bear those figures in mind when looking at the percentages, and please don't be afraid when we get to the Slam and I go HAM on Duzza.

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