0.25u Edhouse 8/11 though, only there on Ladbrokes/Coral, but 4/6 and maybe 8/13 are widely available, which seem more than enough where we think someone wins 70% of the time.
0.25u Plaisier 5/6 on Hills, can also get 4/5 in a lot of places. As in the preview we think he's a near 2-1 favourite, so a line that represents 55% for break even looks value. 4/6 is probably the point where we start saying no.
Kantele looks priced as an accurate enough dog. Rowby as a small favourite is fine. Joyce is doing enough despite currently being outside the world spots that we can't seriously think about 9/2 on Parody, although maybe that does underestimate Dyson's chances slightly. Bunting is undervalued at 5/6 against Gurney, but it is not quite enough to consider a bet, if it ticks to 10/11 I would probably take a small stab, standard bet if we got evens. May throw out that as an option on the exchange. Dobey line is lol, Rock should probably be a little shorter, but not much, Meikle isn't bad after all. Schindler is maybe slightly undervalued, but it's by even less much than Rock is. Mensur may be ever so slightly overvalued, but nothing that we can consider betting. Finally Clemens is more or less correctly priced, not being able to get 1/2 against Hunt, we need a lot longer than that to start firing.
So just the two bets, fading Hendo and Smith in the afternoon session.
No comments:
Post a Comment