Aspinall/Humphries - Priced up rather tight with Luke having the slight edge. I think this is a play, Luke is right up there with the best players in the world right now, and I'm projecting at near two in three win shots. Nathan's a bit more consistent, so maybe bring that down a point or two, but with the price offered on Coralbrokes, we can't go wrong, 0.25u Humphries 17/20, probably good up to 8/11.
van Duijvenbode/van Gerwen - Michael dropped off a bit from the first game, but it was always going to be hard to maintain that level, and he comes in as a bit shorter than a two in three favourite against Dirk, who put in a signature performance of his own. Reads as 65/45 to me. 11/5 on Dirk isn't quite long enough, but van Gerwen isn't backable at that short of a price.
Rock/van den Bergh - Opportunity for Josh, who made easy work of Williams, to make a real statement and completely ruin his value, he'll play Dimitri who put what now seems a routine 105 average in against Schindler. Maybe the crowd remains against him? Model prefers Rock nearly 60/40, maybe draw it back a few points through consistency, and he's available at odds against. We'll take that, 0.25u Rock 7/5 on Unibet and Betfred, probably alright to go up to maybe 5/4.
Wade/Searle - This is not a tricky one to call. Ryan has been playing significantly better in more or less all aspects of the game and should be a favourite, I see 60/40. He isn't, he's odds against in multiple places. 0.25u Searle 11/10
Doubt I post before the semis.
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